Ah, Scrat! I’m digressing.

In the movie, we see Bambi, Thumper the rabbit and Flower the skunk as adolescents visiting Friend Owl. Some sexually aroused birds flutter by petting each other with their rapidly waving wings. The adolescent animals are astonished. “What’s the matter with them?” asks Thumper. Friend Owl chuckles and says, “Why, hee hee, don’t you know??” Then he leans in conspiratorially with a wing muffling his beak, “They’re twitterpated.”

“Twitterpated?” reply the deer, skunk and rabbit.

“Yeeeess…” grins the Owl, but then his mood darkened. “It can happen to you and you,” says the Owl pointing an accusatory pinion feather at Bambi and Thumper. Flower the skunk smiles bashfully blinking at Friend Owl with hopeful, uncertain eyes. He points to his chest. The Owl sardonically pressed, “Yes, it can even happen to you! “

The adolescent animals are defiant that they won’t succumb to twitterpation. Then, one after the other, their paths are crossed, purposefully I might add, by the adolescent female of their species: Flower falls, then Thumper and finally Bambi goes all twitterpate technicolored.

Perhaps using Bambi delights is not the best narrative set up for my discourse on the Teheran tragedy, but then, I am a Rogue Scholar. I don’t follow the rules and I can’t help finding myself often saying things that go against everyone’s grain.

So, here it comes.

The Iranian Green Revolution as it’s been described because its supporters distinguish themselves by wearing green will fail by the same phenomenon that gave it life: Twitter-pation.

There is something almost sexually gratifying about sending and receiving those little postings. An intoxicating micro brew of micro blog boffs for the mind. You get pulled in to Iran in cyberspace, rather than the actual place. I’m moved  by the theme, the passion of the twittering demonstrators, the injustice texted in real time as the riot police are rambling and the Teheranian texter chased down the street is defiantly type-in decrying. The first chirps of voter fraud, escalate to squawks of open rebellion against the regime. Before you know it. Woooh! Wow girl! He guy! How did we heat it to here from there in our uprising argument?

Don’t…

Stop..!

Don’t…

STOP…!

Don’t-stop, don’t-stop-don’t stop twitter tickling me with palpateted news-naughty bits.

Quickie blogs of a few lines have that special euphoria of instant gratification without a lot of patient foreplay of fact or reflection.

We can’t help ourselves see the bigger picture shafted, and well, down the You Tube where it is easier to “micro” the “scope” of a far bigger and more complicated political reality that is Iran into the spyglass shot of fashion model beautiful Neda Soltan being shot through the upper chest by some Revolutionary Guard on a roof top. Graphic violent gratification satiates a collective moral indignation of such a heinous act. Ten million tweets a day made her the Angel of the protesters, the great martyr of the movement.

Again, there’s something twitterpatently sexual about it. If Neda had been old, or a bit overweight or not so attractive as some of the 150 other people slain so far by the police and revolutionary guard crackdown, her tragedy would not have been transformed to the level of mass mob myth with angel wings.

These are just the kind of emotionally packed mass waves of feeling, amplified by instant access reaction made possible by the twitter phenomenon. The sexed-news drive will only increase in the next 35 years remaining in the Cosmic Night Cycle.

For those of you yet uninitiated in cycles of the future, there is a temporal engine of prophetic time keeping called “the Great Year” or the “Cosmic Year.” It’s the time it takes the Sun’s position to gradually recess each year to a new Vernal Equinox position on the tropical zodiac as we see it from our vantage point on Earth against the star field. One degree of change is a “Cosmic Day” of roughly 72 normal years. This 24-hour “Day” translates to two 36-year “day” and “night” cycles. In the “Day” cycle of 36 years, history is collectively and unconsciously influenced by assertive, yang-male, intellectually cerebral driven, rational history. The night cycle of 36 years is subtly influenced by more yin-female forces, more subjective, more motivated by the irrational, driven by the emotive. Our new Internet tools like Twitter will only magnify the power to let emotion overrule reason in popular movements. The news media also will gauge fact by the size of flocking tweets.

Twiter gave the Iranian Green Revolution its power.

Now comes the karmic price.

The emotions carrying the protesters have blinded them to facts and realities. No matter how noble are their urges and dreams — dreams that I too support — these dreams are betrayed by the very twittering emotion that has carried them audaciously aloft since the Iranian presidential elections on 12 June 2009. Tweets blew a huge balloon of belief that there is wide support inside Iran for their rebellion far beyond any reality. This helium of hope is popping.

John Hogue
(02 July 2009)

Predictions for the rest of 2009

Back in November 2008 I predicted Democrat Al Franken would win the voting count dispute and take Coleman’s place. Those of you who read my final list of predictions posted on this blog just before the presidential elections know I predicted the Democrats would gain more than 60 seats, even though it was a mathematical impossibility at the time I made the call. My oracle has more than once snatched an accurate forecast from an irrational situation, so I waited to see. It was already onto something as far back as December 2007 when it accurately pinpointed the political future of Al Gore in 08 plus the shape of Congress to come with a little dig at Vice President Cheney for fun.

***

Now that Vice President Cheney’s term in office is about to end, will a draft movement to compel Al Gore to run for a second term succeed? No. As I said years ago, his window for a second term prophetically yawned wide open for election in 2004. Once those windows shut, history is stingy about opening them again. However, missed opportunities can bring Nobel Prizes. Al Gore, if he does not start taking better care of his health will go down in history as one of America’s greatest Presidents who ever rule solely in the private sector.

I have one more subject on my laundry list before we explore in prophecy the man or the woman who would be elected president in 2008.

Whoever they will be, they will have to wrestle with a new Congress. The Republicans will lose big in House and the Senate elections.

The Republican Party leadership forgot the caveat of the first great Republican President. Abraham Lincoln said, “A house divided cannot stand.” The political karma of 8 years of ruling by division and strengthening your base gave the Republican Congress and President power over a polarized nation. The country is tired of it. A house divided for eight years will see the House and Senate united under new majorities. The Democrats will get 60 seats in the Senate and achieve a two-third majority in the House of Representatives. The party that embraces the aspirations and hopes of independent voters has a future. No others.

***

ASSESSMENT:
Gore did not run for President despite the fact that when I wrote it there was a big push by many Democrats to compel him to run. The 60-seat majority became official today with Republican Coleman conceding defeat when the Minnesota State Supreme Court rejected his recount complaint. He could have extended his fight into federal courts for eight more months but fortunately thought about serving the people of Minnesota and the nation rather than serving his political hubris. Perhaps Coleman self-served his political ambitions to run as Governor, which he will indeed do, and I predict he will win next year.

I would add that more defections of Republican moderates might be on the way, taking the count beyond 60 seats.

A two-third majority in the House of Representatives requires 290 seats warmed by Democrats. At the current seat warming of 257 Dems to 178 Republicans, my prophecy is close but off by 33 seats. At best I could say that prophecy if eventually correct would have to rely on a further meltdown of the Republican Party reduced to its core extreme right wing legislative members. Right now, I cannot see how they could lose an extra 33 seats unless their soul searching and political self-destructive process continues into the mid-term elections of 2010.

John Hogue
(30 June 2009)

Predictions for 2009

Michael Jackson, singing Earth Song from his HIStory Album.

“You must be the last person on earth to buy this,” said the music shop salesman when he slid a cassette tape of Thriller my way in Portland, Oregon, on one of my rare forays out of a spiritual commune into the “big city” in 1985. I have ecstatically danced along my spiritual path and the music of Michael Jackson came along triggering the light foot fantastic.

Those of you who’ve watched me dance at our local Langley Washington music fairs called Choochokam, always held the weekend after the Fourth of July, know what I mean. The ethereal voice, harmonies and astral funk music of Michael Jackson’s songs in Off the Wall or Thriller albums was my holy Prasad of party song in the 1980s as was The Friends of Mr. Cairo by John Anderson and Vangelis. Hey, former communards of the Ranch. Do you remember us rockin’ and ether-astral projectin’ to “State of Independence”? How about the way we flew off the collective launch pad to the stars to Michael Jackson’s “You Want To Be Startin’ Somthin’” after a 12-hour workday, like it was nothing?

When I was a security guard on a lonely stretch of the County Road, we called Buddha Grove, meandering down the high desert hills into our communal ranch of meditators, I stuck that Thriller cassette into the machine, slid the switch to volume full-max, got out of my booth and danced the gravel road conjuring the rising dawn. Thank you Michael for everything: the good, the weird and the transcendental!

Michael passed Thursday — the moment before I posted the last bulletin (The 21 Challenge). That’s where I’ll remember where I was when I heard the King of Pop had died. Today (Saturday) the Internet around the world is overloading and overheating because of the global downloading of his songs. I’m listening to my favorites as I write this. I thought I’d add to the traffic trying to find the musical-prophetic angle to Jackson’s passing.

As much as I’ve loved everything Michael wrote, I do have two hands-down favorites. They don’t come from his heyday but at the beginning of his long twilight into seclusion and the long and dangerous tightrope moonwalk inward into the existential mystery. It is a balancing act that so many sensitive souls like Jackson have walked on an ever thinning line of awareness that either can lead to the farther shore of meditation but more than often ends with a plunge into insanity and/or drug abuse.

I love his “Stranger in Moscow” because it speaks to the meditator on the path in me, trying to make sense of the lonely one seeking the freedom of aloneness who is encountering that “Stranger in my skull” — Michael’s haunting ballad about his night walking alone in the streets of Moscow after a concert. In that song, head upturned, eyes closed, he faced the rain of divine silence and embraced the stranger that is being.

“Stranger in Moscow” is my second favorite.

My first favorite is from the same HIStory album released in the mid-1990s. It shares a meditative and empathic glimpse into the meditator’s life when consciousness blows open a door beyond self. One sees one’s little dewdrop contain the oceanic compassion for this world, its people and all that live and are unconsciously destroying it.

I speak of Michael Jackson’s “Earth Song.”

The song and incomparable video is a sonic-cinematic metaphor for the awakening of all of us, one individual at a time – hopefully in time, before it is too late — to turn back the devastation of war, deforestation, and mass extinction with a great wind of love, intelligence and consciousness. This song and video are works of prophecy. Michael may have passed on, but “Earth Song” continues to share with us a vision of global climate crisis and renewal logged nearly 2,000 years before it happened by a mysterious mystic known as Hermes Trismegistus.

The more poetically occult will say he was the founder of ancient Hermetic mystery schools in Egypt and one of the earliest prophets to warn us of a stagnating atmosphere coming from the Global Warming.

Scholars that are more objective say Hermes Trismegistus was a philosopher or a series of philosophers using the pen name living in Alexandria during the first few centuries after Christ. His rebellious writings against the cut-and-dried, rote teaching of Greek and Platonic orthodoxy were compiled in the Hermetica.

Sources that are more subjective place Hermes T. far back into antediluvian times as the great Atlantean adept, god-realized or actually a god in his own right. According to them, he founded the Egyptian mystery schools after the Atlantean island empire became “all wet” in one climactic inundation as far back as twelve thousand years ago. This Hermes is credited with setting the foundation for nearly all Western mystical teachings. In his book The White Goddess, Robert Graves specifies Hermes’ cosmic role as the “Leader of Souls.” He is responsible for the creation of astronomy, and his teachings are even considered by occult researchers to be the root of the Tarot.

Hermes Trismegistus was an early forewarner of humanity’s disconnect with ecological balance when recorded in a dialogue with Asclepius he decried, “They will no longer love this world around us, this incomparable work of God, this glorious structure which he has built, this sum of good made up of things of many diverse forms…”

It almost reads to me like a script describing Earth Song’s scenes of Amazonian natives watching the forest trees being chopped down and African Masai beholding climate change desiccating their range with the elephants carcasses dismembered of their ivory by poachers and the great herds of Giraffe and Wildebeest vanishing like ghosts of extinction

Then, as if Hermes had written the video shooting script about forests felled replaced by forests of smoke stacks belching poison into earth’s skies, he goes on to describe a world of polluted skies that rings true for our times 1,900 years later: “Then the earth no longer stands unshaken. All voices of the gods will of necessity be silenced and dumb. The fruits of the earth will rot; the soil will turn barren, and the very air will rot. The soil will turn barren, and the very air will sicken in sullen stagnation. After this manner will old age come upon the world.”

Yet, it is out of this coming ecological global disaster that a divine purification comes. Hermes, just like in Jackson’s Earth Song, visualizes us turning back the hand of war. We turn back the hand of ecological devastation, as if at last our minds, our hearts and our hands served a divine call of healing, and a great wind came to blow all our iniquities away as we, like Michael Jackson in Earth Song, blown in the wind, hanging onto dead tree branches, begins to ask those core questions:

Michael Jackson sang:

What have we done to the world
Look what we’ve done
What about all the peace
That you pledge your only son…
What about flowering fields
Is there a time
What about all the dreams
That you said was yours and mine…
Did you ever stop to notice
All the children dead from war
Did you ever stop to notice
The crying Earth the weeping shores

And 1,900 years earlier, Hermes Trismegistus answered:

“[God] will call back to the right path those who have gone astray; he will cleanse the world from evil, now washing it away with water floods, now burning it out with fiercest fire, or again expelling it by war and pestilence. And thus will bring back his world to its former aspect, so that the Kosmos will once more be deemed worthy of worship and wondering reverence.”

In this vision, Hermes Trismegistus parallels the prophecies of the Hopi Native Americans. Destiny necessitates a scourge of rising oceans, floods, droughts, fires, and other ecological disasters — wars and population decimating plagues even — the thorough slap in our collective faces to reawaken humanity’s sense of consciousness and harmony with the universe, in which it has been so blessed to exist. The path to enlightenment is ever a subtle or literal passage through a great death and renewal.

Hermes Trismegistus declares, “Such is the new birth of the Kosmos. It is a making again of all things good; a holy and awe-striking restoration of all nature and it is wrought in the process of time by the eternal will of God. For God’s will has no beginning. It is ever the same and as it now is, even so it has ever been, without beginning. For it is the very being of God to purpose good.”

The Hermetic teaching points to the divine spark in all things. We therefore are vehicles or vessels of the divine good that is never born nor ever dies. All we need do is remember this, each moment, each “now”, and act accordingly in every “now” henceforward to restore our Kosmos.

“Fair well” Michael. Nothing of being ever dies. Thus, you and I will never die, and we will sing the Earth Song Eternal.

John Hogue
(27 June 2009)

Predictions for 2009

This image of Lord Krsna revealing his divine form to King Arjuna is dedicated to Jnana Bhakti Dasa in gratitude.

Friends,
Twenty-one is a sacred number. It comprises the vibratory signature of the harmonic law of the trine, the Law of Three. This law, or better, this blessed reality, can be seen expressed in the highest forms of divinity. In the Hindu religion it is expressed in the Divine Trimurti – the cycle of creation – comprised of Brahma (the Creator), Vishnu (the Preserver) and Shiva (the Destroyer). From birth, life and transcendence, the Law of Three resurfaces in the Christian religion as the blessing in prayers to the Father (God), the Son (Jesus Christ) and the Holy Ghost (the Holy Spirit). In numerology, the number of the God heart or the Great Spirit dwelling in all of us and all things is 777. A trine of three sevens makes the number 21. Add 21 together and 2+1 = the law of 3.

While meditating on 21, this highest number of love godliness, I came to regard the essence of a beautiful ancient Greek word: philanthropy. It comes from uniting anthropos (humanity) with philo(s) love. It essentially means a love of humanity and a giving of that love to all human beings. It is the word of love’s charity and donation to increase the well being of mankind.

My philanthropy requires I keep writing these articles on current events and prophecies to somehow alert and help individuals make choices in the present that will bring about a better future for all humanity. My donation to this cause is, on average, more than 100,000 words a year in 150 articles, taking hundreds of hours each year to research, write and edit above and beyond what I do for my material survival.

From time to time, I sought the philanthropy of you, my readers, and some of you generously donated with all that you could spare to help us cover our budget for HogueProphecy Bulletins. Whether your donation appears mathematically modest or large, I welcomed them all and write a thank you letter to each of you personally.

Because of your charity, we have covered so far two-fifths of what we need to go on for the rest of the year. It is a good start; however, the time has come for more fifths to be found. We need more of the tens of thousands of readers of these bulletins to join us now.

During the donation campaign in May, I received the following challenge from one of my readers. I will share it with you now:

“Heard your call and my wife and I made a $200.00 donation. We have donated and purchased from your store a number of times in the past because we believe in what you are doing. Additionally, we get satisfaction and a degree of inspiration from reading your reports and projects (not to mention your TV and radio appearances). I would challenge all those who consider your work important to match our gift. If you feel it would be appropriate, you may use my challenge in an e-mail to your supporters. Keep it up!!!! (I always say — Hare Krsna) Marlon.”

I just want to say again that in my heart anything donators have given, large or small, has immensely helped us continue and I would not wish to burden those who have already given with another call of help. As I have said before, if only 1,000 of my 100,000-plus readers poured into our coffers the modest sum of $5 it would cover the time and costs for me to keep sending bulletins every other day for a year.

If, though, there were 21 of you who resonated with Marlon and his wife’s challenge and answered it — just 21 of you — then your generous matching donation of $200 each would cover our budget for the rest of the year.

I would like my readers to say “yes” to whatever they can give. And also, to all those who can each support this important work with a matching donation of $200, you can send it in two ways.

The first is via Paypal:

HERE

Or, you can send a US check or US bank draft paid to the order of “John Hogue” to the following postal address:

John Hogue
P.O. Box 666
Langley, WA 98260

Thank you for all your philanthropic help in the past, the present and in the future.

John Hogue
(25 June 2009)

PS–Thank you, Michael Jackson, for everything. From an admirer and fellow-eccentric.

One of the cell phone photos I saw Sunday on CNN coming from Teheran represented as a demonstrator bloodied and wounded, leaning against a car, beaten by Revolutionary Guards. Then I saw the khaki military pants. On closer examination he looked to me like a Revolutionary Guard with half his kit ripped off. The crowds obviously beat him.

A picture, as the statement goes, is worth a thousand words. What happens when such pictures, broadcast across cyberspace thousands of times around the world gain the power of ten times ten thousand words?

A misperception is worth ten time ten thousand tweets. It would seem the first casualty of Cyber-hyperbole is proportionate reporting of the facts.

As an example of what the fever of cyber-hyperbole can do to our unconsciously programmed minds, I give you “Elloi’s” reaction to my article, Teherananmen in Cybermyopia posted on 19 June:

ELLOI
You are shortsighted with very poor memory. You do not know anything about people power and you should shut your mouth. The people power movement that happened in the Philippines and Thailand will tell you NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE MIDDLE CLASS AND THE EDUCATED CLASS because they make revolutions possible and sustainable.

MY RESPONSE
When a person is grasped unconsciously by their emotional center the memory becomes selective. Yes, middle class rebellions do sometimes succeed in the Philippines and the American and French Revolutions too. Do not forget that lower or working class people power movements also succeed. Peasants have had their share of successes, such as the Bolshevik Russian and Red Chinese Revolutions. Nevertheless, sometimes middle class revolutions fail, as you, hailing from the Philippines ought to remember. The early popular uprisings against Marcos were not immediately successful. Just recently, the people power pushes in Thailand were once again suppressed.

Elloi, do you remember the two middle class uprisings in Caracas against President Hugo Chavez in the early 2000s? The US government and news media framed both as popular movements, projecting dictatorial Chavez was on his way out. CNN conjured up texting reports and lined up only expatriate anti-Chavez Venezuelans as their dependable sources.

Well, excuse the facts. Both rebellions failed because Chavez had the vast majority of peasants and the poor in his pocket. God knows why, they loved him. This is something CNN did not report very much. Out of texting, out of mind. Sort of like the unwired millions in Iran who support the conservative piety of Ayatollahs and Ahmadinejad. Sort of like all the pro-Ahmadinejad tweets CNN does not like reading on camera. Anyone who reads me knows I am no supporter of Ahmadinejad. I am also no supporter of corporate journalism coming from CNN, the most trusted news in name only.

I was in India in 1989 when Chinese students made their heroic stand in Tiananmen Square in 1989. I wanted them to succeed as much as I want the Iranian students risking life and limb to freely assemble in Teheran’s streets. There is this little problem about facts that once again stands in the way of my texting the future I want to happen and history may repeat itself, like in China.

In a fit of emotional passion, the memory can conveniently overlook these setbacks on the road to freedom. Yet, if we are blind to all setbacks, we do not learn how to succeed in the future.

Thanks, Elloi, at least for the content of your letter. Though, your emotional outburst undermines what you are trying to say. In a way, it is hypocritical of you, a defender of people power, to tell people to shut their mouths. Is that not what the Supreme Ayatollah Khamenei is commanding the people demonstrating in Iran to do?

I wonder what kind of leader you would be if power were placed in your hands?

It is a question we should all ask ourselves, not just Elloi. What kind of leader would you or I be?

Remember the famous statement: “power corrupts”?

I prefer my own meditation teacher’s upgrade of that statement. I heard Osho often say, power does not corrupt, it exposes the hidden corruption inside of us.

Meditation can also reveal this. A conscious, inward observation of the motivations behind our outer words and actions can shine a light on this hidden corruption. We perhaps then can understand and transcend this corruption before the drug of power influences us.

Look how many times good people-power revolutions find their noble leaders, once in power, becoming just like the regimes they deposed? (Are you listening, Mr. Mousavi?)

Look at Elloi here, upholding the efforts of people power yet telling me to shut my mouth.

Am I not one of the people too?

Where goes my freedom of speech in her worldview?

You might find yourself silenced if what you freely said did not agree with her if Elloi had the power.

What if you, reader, had the power and encountered people who disagreed and protested against your views?

We could all abuse power if we are unmindful of the corruption programmed into us by our societies from birth onwards.

John Hogue
(23 June 2009)

PS–The issue of power held in our hands unconsciously is part of a syndrome I call the “Antichrist Unconscious.” Read more about it here:

Nostradamus and the Antichrist, Code Named: MABUS

(Well, not just yet actually.)

For now. a wave of this Aquarian Age wired mass-mob appeal may eventually bring on a chaotic real revolution though my oracle still says not just yet: soon. I have more than once predicted that coming, if Ahmadinejad was reelected; moreover, I like what the cyber mob mentality is propagating. Citizens in cyberspace are thronging like a crowd made of electronic impulses blinking through the atmosphere (Aquarius just loves atmospheric mass mob revolutions). They are trying to effect change over there in Iran with all their twittering of freedom and reform. They dream it, they text the reality as they imagine it is.

One can almost be persuaded that Mousavi did win his election, even though he didn’t. You can almost imagine he will be a great reformer, even though he isn’t. Quite conservative, actually. But hey! Don’t ruffle my twittering feathers with facts, Mr. Hogue.

If the coming cyber-connected world is to become just as fixated as the Middle Eastern region on perception — and not facts — being synonymous with truth, then prepare yourselves for a future that gathers and disseminates information with all the Aquarian Age subjectivity and passion of a Muslim fundamentalist or a Zionist Israeli.

Beware of old-fashioned mob psychology flocking into Twitter.

Isn’t it wonderful that even I can twitter from Langley, Washington, as if I too am posting from Teheran amongst the real people twittering and demonstrating there. If enough of us outside of Iran do it, it will “appear” to be a fact that this movement in Iran is vast. Of course, people pretending to be Iranians in Teheran can also twitter from a blackberry, cell or iPhone from that “other” Langley. You know, Langley Virginia, home of the Central Intelligence Agency, next door to that “other” Washington, Washington D.C.

When the facts are subordinated to propagating what you think is really happening around you, just remember, the mob psychology of twitterers can be manipulated for good, or by governments for their own ends.

My meditation teacher, Osho, predicted the 21st century would become more and more “irrational” than any other time before it. He was not negatively judging the future — just stating a prescient fact as he saw it that seems to be chirping and twittering into the present.

Onward with Cybermiopia to Cyber-hyperbole we go. Facts will be less important in our social interactions. We will live in a world where bending perception and soldiering passion will rule. Never was discovering a still and abiding intelligence, wrapped in a silence beyond fact or emotion, beyond reason or the irrational, more important than now.

John Hogue
(21 June 2009)

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CAPTION: Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images.

Friends,
Back on 19 March in the article 2009–Four Key Elections, Part 2: Iran I said the following:

President Ahmadinejad … has not fulfilled his domestic policy promises. In the end, that will be the cause of his fall from power on Election Day 12 June 2009, unless the supreme council of Ayatollahs, once again, gerrymanders the election results in his favor — if they dare. That could cause another Iranian Revolution, which I do sense, coming, but not so soon…

Today, before an amassed audience of thousands at Friday prayers held in Qom, Iran, a few hours drive south from the capital, Teheran, the Supreme Ayatollah Khamenei staked his position as Iran’s power above the presidency. He declared the reelection of Ahmadinejad a landslide victory and ordered all mass demonstrations of Mousavi’s hundreds of thousands of followers on the streets of Teheran to stop.

The incidences of voter grievances, which there are upwards of 600 claimed by the three official moderate losers — Mir-Hossein Mousavi, Mehdi Karroubi and Mohsen Rezaei — will be each addressed by the supreme council. Were their some voting shenanigans? Yes, said the Grand Ayatollah, but nothing beyond what usually happens, and certainly nothing coming close to significant enough to call for a second election. Nor was he going to address the fact that in their “democracy” the supreme council of Ayatollahs choose the candidates. But the “fixing” of elections only goes so far in the murky twilight zone of Iranian politics, which establishes a not so clearly defined limbus between democratic freedom and theocratic totalitarian rule.

What I am about to say is a hard fact that Iranian twittering, iPod, iPhone punching moderates and Geek-sympathetic Western media corporate news companies would rather delete from reality. They cannot but they will try until reality bytes.

Ayatollah Khamenei must be following the rules set by the theocracy because if he really fixed the election he would have fixed it in Mousavi’s favor.

Ahmadinejad’s landslide victory propelled by 11-million more voters than Mousavi, consisting mostly of poor, agrarian, urban working class, generally pious and fundamentalist leaning citizens. His certified victory gives him more people power than any previous Iranian President has known. The Western media almost completely overlooks this important point as they fawn over the cyber-literate minority of protesters mostly coming from one place in the country: the educated and more secular leaning classes and students centered in Northern Teheran. Ahmadinejad’s landslide has given him equal political clout to the Grand Ayatollah. That is the last thing Khamenei would personally want. Khamenei, a wealthy Ayatollah of the upper classes not only does not like Ahmadinejad personally, but the political ascendancy of this working class populist is a far bigger threat to the Ayatollah’s rule than Mousavi would have been had he won.

If the moderate Mousavi had actually won, Ayatollah Khamenei could pit his several million moderates against the vast population ocean of working class, religiously right wing leaning Iranian majority who live mostly outside the island of cyber-wired modernity that is Teheran. Ahmadinejad, however, can take that base away from the Ayatollah.

Khamenei openly spoke against reelecting Ahmadinejad to a second term. Khamenei is not caught in voter fraud; he is caught in the prison of his own theocratic rules. In his mind, “God has spoken and willed it,” as it were, and he must submit to four more years of this annoying Ahmadinejad. He has no choice but to certify Ahmadinejad because beyond whatever tinkering goes on in the Iranian voting world after dictatorial priests have permitted who will run against who, his landslide of authentic ballots is too large to overturn any questionable ones.

The supreme leader of Iran in his speech to the nation on Friday urged all presidential candidates to pursue their complaints through legal channels. He called for an end to illegal street protests aimed at reversing the result of the election.

So now comes tomorrow, Saturday. Most of you will be reading this article tomorrow. Will there be a Mousavi sea of green rebellion tomorrow, in the streets, of the young and hopeful, dressed all in green.

Will they be stained with blood? These brave people are no less dear to my heart than a progressive and once young Chinese generation in 1989, who gathered peacefully in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square, asking for representation and real democracy. Khamenei has made it as clear as the supreme leader Deng Xiaoping of the Chinese Communists eventually did. Assemble and face the bloody consequences on the streets.

Tiananmen may become Teherananmen for a new generation. If it does, it will have the same result, the youth of Teheran, like the youth of Beijing, are not speaking or supported by the vast majority of the country, no matter how righteous their calls for freedom and no matter how ridiculously biased the Western news agencies wish to make it so. A new revolution will come to China and Iran in the future, but the bloody end of Tiananmen Square rallies and the bloody end of Teherananmen street demonstrations coming tomorrow are but early travails in the slow and steady democratic metamorphoses of these nations.

Today I coin a new word that I predict will be commonly known in the future as a darker side to the Internet revolution: Cybermyopia.

There is a new form of human prejudice and misperception emerging from the heady days of this first text messaged, twittered, cell-phoned-in revolution on the streets of Teheran and I caution you, my readers, to examine how it may inflate your perceptions of reality all out of proportion to the truth. Have you noticed that BBC, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, CBC and NBC television networks have presented as journalistic fact information coming virtually from only one side of the Iranian political dispute — those who have cell phone, twitter accounts, and internet access inside of Iran?

Are you aware that the poll taken showing Mousavi would win by a landslide — the same poll used again and again by an array of pro-Mousavi expatriate Iranian talking heads on TV as proof of voter fraud — are only taken from a cell-phone poll? That is what STRATFOR has verified.

The millions casting their cell-phone votes for Mousavi do not hail from across Iran but mostly can be sourced to cell-phone numbers in the affluent and middle class districts and university districts of Teheran. Yet, the cable and network news anchors take such polls as gospel as proof of government voter fraud. No skeptical inquiry or verification proffered. Not even a scant mention until after the Ayatollah’s speech today that a vast majority of voters in Iran do not have a cell phone, let alone a land line, a computer, a twitter account by which to render their polling opinion.

Only yesterday on BBC America did I hear an anchor at last question a representative of BBC Iran about the vast disparity of wired versus an unwired Iranian voting public the poll perhaps had missed. She blinked. Frowned. Dismissed the question with a sweeping generality not on the point, saying the Ahmadinejad people have cell phones and Internet too. She was lying or playing propagandist for her cause if she is implying that millions of rural Iranians are as wired as Mousavi followers. BBC Iran is the chief conduit carrying pro-Mousavi reports to other news networks, by the way. Ayatollah Khamenei in his speech today blamed American and especially British news networks as the main source of what he characterized as a foreign disinformation campaign to undermine the government and influence Iranian elections.

I can understand why the totalitarian Ayatollahs try to shut off the Internet and cell connections. Undemocratic? Sure! About as undemocratic as the American government regularly blocking yours or my access to Pakistani Internet links and newspapers online during the 1990s because Pakistan was on the State Department’s terrorist nation list. Then 9/11 happened. America suddenly needed the services of Pakistan’s dictator, Musharraf –- you know, the same fellow who overthrew Pakistan’s elected government in the late 1990s — to help us fight al-Qaeda. A few jets flaming into New York skyscrapers later, Pakistan was magically declared a “good” ally. I could read Pakistani papers online once again without disruption.

No matter how much I would prefer a Mousavi recount and a Mousavi victory, the truth is, this very vocal, intelligent, cyber-savvy MINORITY propagates — indeed believes what it is selling too — that Mousavi speaks for the political aspirations of a majority of the Iranian people.

I hate to say it. That is flat false.

When you hear the press in the West say that millions of people in Iran hate Ahmadinejad because he flubbed fixing the economy; or, that Iranians are not that interested in Iran’s place as a regional super power; or, that Iranians generally are not taken up with fear of Israel, you are indeed hearing a view shared by millions of Iranians in TEHERAN.

Go out of Teheran, go beyond the vast and sprawling capital that admittedly comprises a large proportion of the national population, nearly reaching 19 percent. Outside you encounter a gi-normously larger and different collective mindset of 70 percent comprising the rural lands and cities like Esfahan, Bam, Tabriz, Bandar Abbas, Khorramshahr, Shiraz and 50 thousand other lesser cities, towns and villages. There you will find a huge majority of Iranians who believe Ahmadinejad is a crusader against the corruption of the rich Ayatollah families. Yes, he failed to fix the economy but that is less important to a majority populace that factors a leader’s piety higher than his ability to fix worldly economic problems. They forgive him for that.

Israeli threats to bomb Iran were played up by Ahmadinejad because his voting base IS concerned about a nuclear-armed Israel and nationalist feelings run deep, as deep as religious conservatism. People texting or key paddling around in Tehran’s packed Internet cafes might welcome outside manipulation of Iran’s elections. The vast hinterland teams with Iranians who look upon the current Western news reporting as another attempt of Britain and America to meddle in their affairs, just like they did in 1953 when British and US C.I.A. agents helped overthrow a democratically elected government that had successfully deposed the dictatorial Shah of Iran.

The CIA put him back on his throne. The dictatorship got a lot darker for the common people. If Iranians had helped overthrow a British or American democracy over 50 years ago, I do not think an attempt to manipulate the outcome of elections from cyberspace coming from Iranian texters and news anchors would be welcome today.

Such facts are ignored by many of those in Iran and elsewhere caught up to their thumbnails under the spell of their Internet text button toys. I see a pattern growing here in the geek-able post baby boomer generation X, Y and Z, otherwise known as the “New Millennials.” They live life as an extension of their cell phones and twitter long enough to forget a whole lot of the world does not live in their world just yet.

Cybermyopia makes CNN and Fox news anchors view Teheran as Iran. It is an illusion. Western journalists, like Mousavi supporters,  have unconsciously deleted from existence a vast multitude of people not yet a part of their social network. Mousavi’s Iranians are living in a virtual political reality bubble, some of which will die tomorrow (Saturday) in the streets of Teheran clashing with government security supported by those tens of millions more Iranians who voted for Ahmadinejad.

Ah, reckless cyber youth, be mindful of this cybermyopia when you face the Revolutionary Guards tomorrow on 20 June 2009. Unplug and look around.

The new Iranian Revolution is coming when you become aware and stop denying the existence of “all” the political forces at play in your country, plugged “and” unplugged.

John Hogue
(19 June 2009)

You can find more and extensive prophetic overviews of the future of Iran in the following digital books:

Nostradamus: The War with Iran

Predictions for 2009

Nostradamus and the Antichrist, Code Named: MABUS

This CNN frame grab shows people choking all access routes off Manhattan Island during the great New York City power outage of August 2003. Could such events become common in the near future?

Friends,
One of my readers (Bill) was reviewing what I wrote in Predictions for 2009 and asked me back in February if I read “The Long Emergency” by James Howard Kunstler. Bill believed Kunstler’s vision of a period of sustained tribulations in the ecological, social and economic dimensions is now taking place. Kunstler’s premise is that civilization will enter a new energy strapped “Dark Age” because the current fossil fuel addicted and dependent global civilization is past its peak oil production prime. He poses that current calls to go green and find alternative fuels for transport will not be heeded in enough time to prevent a great die-off of humans from worldwide civil supersystem collapse. Putting it in another way, in a popular music metaphor, in a few decades’ time the Prince purple rain party we were having (Let’s Party like its 1999) will look more like a party of resource barbarians scrounging and scratching for survival like its the medieval year 999.

I told Bill that I was aware of Kunstler’s theory. Indeed a number of prophets, including Nostradamus, have been warning us of similar consequences of food, climate and social breakdown if our exponentially growing flock of little dirty human birdies continue to pollute and consume our only aerie in space. Though Kunstler sees a passing of peak oil production as the trigger of all this Dark Age collapse, the prophets of many traditions give us several more possibilities. Whatever way we look at it, we are in the Long Emergency of an evolutionary crisis for the human race. It began in 2008. If we are lucky, it will last 36 to 50 years.

Not so lucky? Not so smart to change? Two hundred to 500 years.

Sorry all you 20-twelvers. The “Long Count” of the Mayan Calendar may soon be ending but we have already embarked on the long count of years unto the maturing of the human race beyond its mechanical and unconscious ways. Gain need not come only through pain. It all depends on just how long we all want to keep talking about change — and I mean all the talking coming out of Obama’s head all the way down to greenie gabbing you and me. We are running out of cocktail party chatter time. Nostradamus’ astrological rants and descriptions of future famine, disease, floods, droughts and wars better match the astrological aspects coming for the early 2020s — not 2012. A completely revolutionary change in ecological-industrial course for the whole human race has to happen now, and every now strung down the next ten years, kapish?

You can rest assured that before we get to the 2020s or even 2012, I will present for you all the prophetic angle of Kunstler’s hypothetical future. That future doesn’t have to be like a variation of Ving Rhames/Marsellus Wallance’s line in Pulp Fiction: “Yo’ future? I’m gonna get medieval on yo’ ass!”

“Bad-future you and present-day me? ” Vings in Marsellus, “There is no you and me. Deal?”

The first step to closing that deal brings on an enlargement of my response to Bill’s comments in part two of this blog.

Bill isn’t full of talk. He’s all AmeriCAN do. He’s the kind of grassroots, private sector trailblazer in “green collar” entrepreneurship that I presaged emerging this first full year of the Long Emergency. In a forthcoming bulletin, I’ll share my reply to his email about his new green-company. It provides affordable, sustainable multi-housing that aims to provide the most efficient use of materials, labor, space and energy (BTUs). Check out the website to ModSystemsSB.com

John Hogue
(17 June 2009)

This North Korean propaganda poster, entitled, "Criticizing and Exposing Collaborators" parrots Norman Rockwell's famous painting "Freedom of Speech."

Friends,
Haris from Australia attacks the apple of my Kim Jong Il article with oranges. Nevertheless, it has inspired me to respond with a Thanksgiving Turkey leg thrown back:

HARIS:
John, I have to admit I generally like to read your work but wonder whether you were a little tipsy when you wrote this last article, (too much red wine perhaps?)

HOGUE
Hello, Haris,
I wrote it cold sober. Probably a mistake because like Hannibal Lecter, sometimes I am a better writer after some fava beans and a good glass of Chiaaanti (sliversluversluckaslogahgasah…!)

HARIS:
What have you to say of a nation (near and dear to you)…

HOGUE
You assume it is blindly so.

HARIS:
…built on the blood (and bones) of the indigenous peoples, many whom died of disease, starvation, murder, genocide, expulsion and lies by invading hordes of a militant ‘killer race’ of people, hell bent on taking everything and anything of value. (called theft by any other name)…

HOGUE
You must be new to HogueProphecy bulletins and my books. You have initiated this Australian Barbie debate unarmed with knowledge about my long sustained and critical views about European American crimes against America’s own native peoples. You would have known that I stirred a Tasmanian Devil’s nest of ire over here constantly reminding people in my homeland what they did and got away with instigating a holocaust on “our” aboriginals.

You ought to know how that is, writing from Australia. We generally got away with our holocaust; you are getting away with yours Downunder. Consider the persecution and systematic destruction of culture and the ongoing genocide of “your” aboriginals. I have lived in Australia. I have seen first hand what your Euro-Aussie blokes get away with. Just because it is “outback” and removed from view, just because it is on a far smaller scale than the German Jewish or the American Native Holocaust, does not hide your country’s ongoing crime from my scrutiny.

I guess Australians will never match our crime in sheer numbers, yet OZ does match “US” in spirit and in our all-American European righteous hypocrisy.

So, if you are going to throw stones I playfully invite you to stand farther away, out of the greasy smoke of the barbie and see my work in a clearer light.

I cordially invite you (and everybody else) to read the following archived article called: Thanksgiving Day: A Real Turkey of a Holiday for Native American Prophets

The entry is posted nearly nine years back, but it started quite a stir of debate that is ongoing. Perhaps this is a good time once again to push those built-in buttons — compliments of each society’s conditioning that birth lands us in. Let us push that “Caucasian” button and pluck those buttons of borrowed identity that makes us think we are “American” or “Australian” or “Aboriginal.”

Let us push the button called “enslaved victim” who could not flash a “tilt” of protest without pushing the corresponding button of codependency called “enslaving victimizer.” We are not these button labels, even if we are hypnotized by our resident education conspiracies of national and tribal mesmerism to identify, fight and even die for buttons.

HARIS:
…What have you to say. Do you really believe this nation is qualified to dictate terms or police this planet? Whilst their own history drips with the blood of innocents, and their influence throughout the world is but nothing more than the sip of the poisoned chalice.

HOGUE
Oh what a lot of gush, Haris. If the readers want to see the whole lengthy extent of your turgid narrative about American crimes they can read it at the comments section below the article Kim Jong Il has No Dong.

Someone has already logged the first response:

ACHINTYA
Haris, you seemed to have missed the point. [Hogue] is not criticizing the North Korean people for their suffering. He is simply pointing out the facts (the real story) about their leader. “THE GREAT DONG”. What is you point Haris?

I must agree with Achintya. You rambled off the point from the first sentence to the displayed fourish quoted above. The article was about that nitwit of dictators oppressing the North Korean people. May he show his weak hand in history’s gamble and pass on soon. May the North Koreans need only endure one last dark time of national implosion before better times and perhaps better programming comes.

I say “perhaps” because new programming is not what anyone needs but it happens. Perhaps when the prison mind-set of Kim’s Stalinist hermit kingdom is replaced by a more comfortable mind-prison called “united Korean democracy” some individuals may have a better chance freeing themselves from all programs and become conscious of their divine spark. Some prisons feed their inmates better, give them more toys, a library, more chances to expand their minds behind  cell phone bars, etc. As long as people stay identified with their harsh or luxurious national prisons and revel in their political chains — fascist, socialist, communist or democratic — they will not know themselves and govern themselves with enlightenment.

I write these blogs to provoke you all. I work very hard to unsheathe your programmed buttons and give them a push. It is not done to hurt you, but to awaken you and awaken me.

John Hogue
(15 June 2009)

“Think Amalek”: Biblical Bluffs? (9 June 2009)

Friends,
I wrote this comment at a time when my “oracular” intuition went against the wind of global media forecasting a victory for Iranian reformer Mir-Hossein Mousavi. Even Iran watchers I deeply respect, such as Anglo-Iranian journalist Christiane Amanpour of CNN, seemed carried off by a case of journalistic myopia so prevalent in the Western press about how Iranians vote. Let me put it this way, if you only gauge the mood of the United States by what you see demonstrated in the streets of New York City, is your reading accurate?

Mass rallies of college students in the streets of the Iranian “New York”, its capital, Teheran, a city wherein you find most of the moderates of a country of 70 million people residing, may give off a spectacular and inspiring demonstration of an Obama-like change brewing in the land governed by a supreme council of strict Sharia law-abiding Ayatollahs. Teheran’s streets, however, are no less a marker of what a majority of people desire in Iran than demonstrations of Columbia University students in the streets of New York represent the will of people in rural America. Teheran, a vast and sprawling metropolis of 13.4 million, exceeds New York in population and comprises just under 20 percent of the country’s population and indeed a majority of its moderate voters. Bus yourself outside of northern Teheran, beyond its swank and liberal districts, affluent suburbs and universities and even before you exit the city’s southern half you enter Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s Iran: the crowded tenements of the poor, the working classes. Venture beyond Teheran and you meet the rural silent majority of the supreme council of Ayatollahs: it is conservative, far right of religiously center and traditional. This too is predominantly Ahmadinejad-land.

In Teheran today and this evening thousands of students protest and riot in the streets in a level of violence not seen there in ten years. Mousavi cries election fraud and petitions the Grand Ayatollah and clergy in the religious capital of Iran, Qom, for a review of election results. Ahmadinejad speaks before the nation after being officially deemed “victor” 24 hours after the polls closed even though the Islamic Republic’s constitution by law cannot make an election count official for three days after polls close. Ahmadinejad tonight played a good politician: put on his best squinting feral smile and promised the usual bromides of ending corruption, taking Iran forward not backward, hearing the will of the people, blah blah… There was one zinger chased with totalitarian actions. He complained about the unprecedented attempt of worldwide media to influence the elections as Facebook, Skype and most other Internet links to the outside world mysteriously shut down within Iran.

The leadership of the Revolutionary Guards has alluded to worries that the loser, Mousavi and his movement, so dependent on these internetworking tools, might escalate their protest into some velvet glove-like revolution, akin to those popular uprisings in 1990 that took down many Eastern European communist governments at the end of the cold war with the help of the media.

Despite the totalitarian moves of Ahmadinejad the day after his election, I will once again go against popular conclusions for the prophetic record. More than that, I will grind harder against the roughed grain of popular expectations of moderates in and outside of Iran who wanted to see the Iranian “Obama” as Mousavi was called bring a change revolution in Iran:

Ahmadinejad did not steal the election. He won the popular vote and handily. The unprecedented turnout favored him.

It would be good for Amanpour and other Iran watchers see Iran from beyond the urban, affluent, educated and moderate veil of Teheran’s educated middle class and upscale millions to the tens of millions of poor, peasant-rural, fundamentalist leaning Iranians of the countryside and other cities.

Mousavi may petition clerics in Qom, but remember the bombshell revelation Ahmadinejad delivered in the midst of a heated nationally televised debate with Mousavi earlier this week. Ahmadinejad said he was campaigning against more than Mousavi, he said the Supreme Ayatollah Khamenei also campaigned against his reelection.

Khamenei is the real power in Iran. It is no secret that he personally does not like Ahmadinejad. If Iranian governance from the black robed top Ayatollah was so impregnable and dictatorial as many Western reporters like to say, then how do you explain Ahmadinejad winning? How does one explain his win being officially certified, albeit ahead of what the law requires?

I answered this rhetorical question in a prediction posted 19 March 2009 in the article 2009–Four Key Elections, Part 2: Iran:

The reform strategy here is to win over a majority of Iranians on the solid footing of Mousavi’s past economic successes and his proven strength as a leader under crisis filled times. President Ahmadinejad on the other hand has been an economic bungler and his brinksmanship with Israel and America has taken him off theme as much as put his citizens under the imminent threat of war throughout his term in office. He has not fulfilled his domestic policy promises. In the end, that will be the cause of his fall from power on Election Day 12 June 2009, unless the supreme council of Ayatollahs, once again, gerrymanders the election results in his favor — if they dare. That could cause another Iranian Revolution, which I do sense, coming, but not so soon…

There does seem to be some gerrymandering of Ayatollahs with the cut off of Internet and quick endorsement of victory, but I do not think it is now done to cover a fraudulent election, but rather, to suppress what I did sense coming, the backlash of another Iranian revolution, this time of moderates. It is not coming yet. Proof of this prediction will be seen with the coming settling down of moderate protests in a few weeks, sweetened by Ahmadinejad acting the conciliator to moderates with perhaps some important cabinet posts.

In the next quote from 19 March, I predicted the fate of Ahmadinejad would be harmed or bolstered by what kind of government coalition Israel would form by early April. Would it be a moderate right of center Kadima or far right Likud coalition?

Much in Iran’s political direction hinges on what happens in early April in Israel. Will Netanyahu form a pro-war coalition of right-wing parties or a more diplomatically oriented centrist right coalition of Tzipi Livni’s Kadima Party with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud?

Between April and June, Israeli policy will either throw flaming oil on the problem with bellicosity or pave the way for Ahmadinejad’s descent into history’s rat hole of obscurity.

Save the rat hole, Madame History. Netanyahu did not form a coalition with Tzipi Livni’s Kadima Party. He went far right, picking the hardcore Zionist, Avigdor Lieberman, as his foreign minister. What was left of the leftist Labor Party came shuffling along. An interesting move to salvage dwindling political capital in the rightward lurching State of Israel. The rural majority of Iran could see — and Ahmadinejad could exploit — a stark reality: an Israeli hawkish, anti-Iran government, run by Netanyahu threatens. He has more than once pledged to bomb Iran’s nuclear reactors, a symbol of national pride to all Iranians, especially its rural redneck Ahmadinejad-leaning population who do not want to see it ever shut down. Israel does not want to see it continue and will only give Obama’s diplomatic efforts a few months’ time.

Extremism and belligerence ever feeds extremism. Ahmadinejad won because the mighty rightward lean in Israel fed a right wing reaction in Iran far more prevalent than Iranian moderates or their sympathetic journalists anticipated.

Netanyahu’s aides matched Ahmadinejad’s outlandish bluster (wipe Israel off the map of history) with a cloaked biblical message to annihilate Iran (think Amalek). The Amalek crack was worth at least a million Iranian votes for Ahmadinejad.

Now we face the coming of Mars in Cancer’s transit, in August through October, the best time for might to presume the right to strike the Iranian reactors.

John Hogue
(13 June 2009)